UFC Vegas 124 is less than 24 hours away …
It all goes down this weekend (Sat., Nov. 7, 2026), inside the META APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. In the main event, top 15 Heavyweight collide on short notice as Waldo Cortes-Acosta takes on the always exciting Johnny Walker.
We have a weekly series at MMAmania.com called “Weekend Lock,” where we share one bet that we predict will slap in the desert “Sin City” when the chaotic dust settles. We also want to hear what our readers think (that’s you!), so please tell us your most confident UFC Vegas 124 betting lock in the comments section below (see full UFC Vegas 124 odds here).
Last week’s recap: Bantamweights Luana Santos and Yana Santos definitely fought to a decision … in an awful fight. Nevertheless, that is back-to-back weekend lock wins. Let’s go.
Let’s keep rolling below:
Former UFC Strawweight title challenger Tatiana Suarez returns to action against fellow former title challenger Virna Jandiroba in UFC Vegas 124’s co-main event.
This week, I’m locking in Suarez’s moneyline at (-205).
I still firmly believe Suarez is one of the best Strawweights on the planet.
Yes, she got completely outclassed by Weili Zhang in her first UFC title opportunity last year. It wasn’t particularly competitive, and the former champion exposed some serious holes in Suarez’s game.
But here’s the thing: Zhang is one of the greatest female fighters of all time.
Losing to her doesn’t suddenly mean Suarez isn’t elite. In fact, I still think Suarez beats just about everyone else in the division.
And that includes Jandiroba.
Suarez possesses some of the best wrestling in women’s MMA, averaging 4.52 takedowns per 15 minutes. She’s physically strong, relentless with her pressure, and has the ability to dictate exactly where a fight takes place.
That’s going to be a problem for Jandiroba.
The 38-year-old Brazilian is an outstanding grappler herself, but her 73 percent takedown defense is going to be tested against someone with Suarez’s wrestling credentials.
And while Jandiroba is dangerous off her back, Suarez has never been submitted in her professional career. That doesn’t mean she’s immune to submissions, but it certainly gives me confidence that she can navigate Jandiroba’s dangerous guard without getting caught.
There’s also a difference between being a great grappler and being a great wrestler.
Jandiroba is exceptional at finding submissions and capitalizing on scrambles, but Suarez’s ability to secure takedowns, establish dominant positions, and maintain top control is what separates her from most of the division.
Plus, Suarez has already bounced back nicely from her loss to Zhang, defeating Amanda Lemos and submitting Loopy Godinez in her last two outings.
She’s still improving, still dangerous and still very much in the title picture.
Betting on women’s MMA is always a risk, and Jandiroba is no joke.
She’s one of the most accomplished submission artists in the division and has the ability to turn a single scramble into a fight-ending opportunity. She’s also never been finished, so expecting Suarez to simply run through her would be foolish.
There’s also the possibility that the grappling cancels itself out, forcing Suarez into a prolonged striking battle where she’s considerably less comfortable.
Still, I trust Suarez’s wrestling, physicality and ability to dictate the pace far more than Jandiroba’s submission hunting.
I think Suarez takes down the older Brazilian repeatedly, controls the action and reminds everyone why she’s still one of the best Strawweights in the world.
Give me Tatiana Suarez’s moneyline (-205) as this week’s “Weekend Lock.”
Suarez via TKO/KO/DQ: +1100
Suarez via submission: +650
Suarez via decision: -12o
Jandiroba via TKO/KO/DQ: +2500
Jandiroba via submission: +750
Jandiroba via decision: +275
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